HomeWeekly

Weekly

Morality in Geopolitics

The negotiations over a peaceful resolution to the Ukraine war bring to light an uncomfortable truth: In geopolitics, ethics tend to be coincidental, not causal. There are those who argue that it is morally necessary to universally and absolutely oppose aggression in all forms. For them, accommodating Russia would be a moral failure. But for […]

Speculating on the Summit in Saudi Arabia

At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish...

Russia-US Negotiations Open the Next Phase Of Restructuring the World

From 1945 until the early 1990s, the global order was based on the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was...

America’s Sixth Socio-Economic Cycle

In my books ā€œThe Next 100 Yearsā€ and ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm,ā€ I introduced a model of U.S. history consisting of political cycles...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

American Cycles and Uncertainty

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Spirit of America – Its People

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Weakness of Israel’s Approach to War

The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...

Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles

As I wrote in my most recent book, ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm,ā€ we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate...

Iran and War

Last week, I wrote on the Middle East and promised a follow-up piece would come next. The U.S. election intruded. Now I’ll return to...

War Without Decision: In the Context of the Middle East – Part 1

The Middle East is in disarray, and it’s unclear if it can stabilize itself on its own. In many cases, a nation’s military can...

The Danger of Unfatal Wounds

ā€œIf you must wound someone, it is better to kill him.ā€ I’ve encountered some version of this missive throughout the course of my career. And...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscription Special



The World in 2026

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now