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The Coronavirus Closes Borders

George Friedman -
The border between the United States and Canada has been closed. I don’t recall that ever happening before; I’m not sure what it is...

Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus

George Friedman -
The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces...

Quarantine and the Supply Chain

George Friedman -
The global medical community appears to have devised a strategy for mitigating the coronavirus that depends largely on quarantine, or limiting contact among the...

Oil Prices

George Friedman -
Since before World War I and throughout the 1970s, the people who controlled oil had a lever for controlling others. Since the 1980s, the...

Thoughts on the Coronavirus

George Friedman -
I have presented geopolitics to be like economics, a science that predicts and summarizes the impersonal forces that drive a system so vast as...

The Canadian Geopolitical Dynamic

George Friedman -
Canada is being wracked by what appears to be a moderately important internal crisis over First Nations’ objections to the construction of a natural...

China, Ultra-Competence and Coronavirus

George Friedman -
The Communist revolution brought to power Mao Zedong. It created a state based on ideology, the belief that what would emerge from the long...

The Geopolitics of the Novel Coronavirus

George Friedman -
Geopolitics is a fairly slow-moving process that unfolds in predictable ways. This is usually the case. There are then moments when a wild card...

The Fragmentation of the European Union

George Friedman -
At the end of this week, the United Kingdom, the second-largest economy in Europe, will exit the European Union. Meanwhile, Poland is under intense...

Russia’s Puzzling Moves

George Friedman -
Over the past few weeks, two odd things have happened in Russia. The first is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has restructured the government....

Evaluating the Importance of Recent Events

George Friedman -
There are moments when the entire world seems to be coming apart, as if Armageddon itself were upon us. Public attention tends to be...

Iran and the United States: What Comes Next

George Friedman -
In order to understand the current confrontation between Iran and the United States, we might begin with the Persian-Babylonian wars. Alternatively, we could begin...
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