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As Turkey’s Economy Goes, So Goes Its Ambitions

Caroline D. Rose - September 30, 2020

Turkey’s economy is in dire straits. In September, the Turkish lira fell to a 20-year low as investors withdrew billions from Turkey’s currency bond...

Belarus’ Next Episode

George Friedman - September 15, 2020

Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...

Eternal Brexit

George Friedman - September 8, 2020

In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...

Nothing Has Changed With Taiwan

George Friedman - September 1, 2020

On Aug. 17, 1982, U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz sent a memo via an American diplomat to the Taiwanese government. On Monday, just...

The Poisoning of Navalny

George Friedman - August 25, 2020

Alexei Navalny, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s highest-profile political opponent, remains alive in a German hospital after being poisoned in the Russian town of Tomsk....

Israel and the UAE Formalize Their Normalized Relations

Hilal Khashan - August 18, 2020

On Aug. 13, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a historic peace treaty between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, two countries that do not...

The Geopolitics of the Belarusian Election

George Friedman - August 11, 2020

Belarus, whose recent elections are making waves throughout the media, has been a pending flashpoint in Europe for some time. The reasons for this...

From a COVID-19 Recession to COVID-19 Depression?

George Friedman - August 4, 2020

It’s been roughly five months since COVID-19 lockdown measures were first put in place. That means that come September, we will have gone two...

Racial Cycles

George Friedman - July 28, 2020

Slavery was the law of the land when the United States was founded, and it would take nearly a century, and a civil war,...

The Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales

George Friedman - July 22, 2020

The British recently finished building two new aircraft carriers, the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales. Last week, Britain announced that one of...