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How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...

The Emerging Order

George Friedman -
I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in...

How the Ukrainian Battlefield Redefines the World

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there...

Learning Lessons From the War in Ukraine

George Friedman -
After a war, all parties turn to “lessons learned,” a phrase that has become commonplace. A war is, in a hideous way, a learning...

Evaluating Russia’s Performance in Ukraine

George Friedman -
The Russian invasion of Ukraine had two goals. The first was to take control of Ukraine, intending to complete the task begun in Belarus...

Europe and the Ukraine Crisis

George Friedman -
Last week, the European Union’s highest court ruled that Brussels can withhold funding from member states that violate the rule of law, slapping down...

Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman -
Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman -
Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

George Friedman -
When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

George Friedman -
We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

The Republic of COVID-19

George Friedman -
The emergence of the omicron variant drives home an essential point: There is no evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end. It might, but...

Russia and Ukraine: War or Bluff?

George Friedman -
Two weeks ago, I wrote an analysis of Russian strategy titled “Russia’s Move.” Here’s a brief recap: When the Soviet Union collapsed, it lost...
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