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The Beginning of a New Era

George Friedman -
A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200...

The Ukraine War, Redefined

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine began under a faulty assumption shared by many, including the United States, that if Russia invaded, it would defeat Ukraine,...

The World and a Small War

George Friedman -
No war is small when you are living in it, but the world is large, and large wars are rare. At the same time,...

Time For Putin’s Hail Mary Pass

George Friedman -
Alexander Dvornikov isn’t exactly a household name, but it could be soon. He’s the Russian general President Vladimir Putin has put in charge of...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...

The Emerging Order

George Friedman -
I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in...

How the Ukrainian Battlefield Redefines the World

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there...

Learning Lessons From the War in Ukraine

George Friedman -
After a war, all parties turn to “lessons learned,” a phrase that has become commonplace. A war is, in a hideous way, a learning...

Evaluating Russia’s Performance in Ukraine

George Friedman -
The Russian invasion of Ukraine had two goals. The first was to take control of Ukraine, intending to complete the task begun in Belarus...

Europe and the Ukraine Crisis

George Friedman -
Last week, the European Union’s highest court ruled that Brussels can withhold funding from member states that violate the rule of law, slapping down...

Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman -
Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman -
Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...
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