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American Cycles and Uncertainty

George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Spirit of America – Its People

George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Weakness of Israel’s Approach to War

George Friedman -
The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...

Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles

George Friedman -
As I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate...

Iran and War

George Friedman -
Last week, I wrote on the Middle East and promised a follow-up piece would come next. The U.S. election intruded. Now I’ll return to...

War Without Decision: In the Context of the Middle East – Part 1

George Friedman -
The Middle East is in disarray, and it’s unclear if it can stabilize itself on its own. In many cases, a nation’s military can...

The Danger of Unfatal Wounds

George Friedman -
“If you must wound someone, it is better to kill him.” I’ve encountered some version of this missive throughout the course of my career. And...

What Is a Superpower?

George Friedman -
The end of the Cold War and the dismantling of what had been a bipolar world order raised the question of what exactly constitutes...

Russia’s Deliberately Unclear Strategy for Iran

George Friedman -
Readers have no doubt noticed that much of my writing over the past two-and-a-half years has focused on Russia. Some of the reasons for...

A Simple View of the Arab-Israeli War

George Friedman -
Last week, I wrote an article on the two wars raging in Eurasia. It was “idiosyncratic” in that, unlike other columns circling the mediasphere,...

An Idiosyncratic View of Two Wars

George Friedman -
There are two major wars being fought. One, between Ukraine and Russia, has been raging for more than two and a half years but...

In the Arab-Israeli War, Intentions Matter

George Friedman -
With the situation in northern Israel now escalating, it’s imperative to take stock of the purpose of the Oct. 7 attacks and what it...
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