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A Summary of the Iran War, So Far

George Friedman - March 11, 2026

Wars can be viewed by historians later, but while they are raging and facts and lies compete for attention, it’s hard to understand what’s...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

George Friedman - March 1, 2026

At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

George Friedman - February 23, 2026

I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future

George Friedman - February 16, 2026

Representatives from more than 115 countries gathered over the weekend for the annual Munich Security Conference. Little of substance usually emerges from this meeting,...

The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario

George Friedman - February 9, 2026

The United States has entered indirect talks with Tehran over the future of Iran’s nuclear program. Geopolitically, Iran should not be a fundamental issue...

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

George Friedman - February 2, 2026

If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

George Friedman - January 26, 2026

Representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine held talks over the weekend in Dubai on ending the war in Ukraine. There’s evidence to...

Confession: I Can’t Figure Out Trump’s Latest Move

George Friedman - January 19, 2026

The task I have dedicated my career to is understanding the things that nations must do and what they must not do. I see...

Why Greenland Matters

George Friedman - January 12, 2026

U.S. President Donald Trump has demanded that Denmark turn Greenland over to the United States. This raises the question of why Greenland matters. It’s...

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba

George Friedman - January 5, 2026

In recent weeks, I have focused on two points. First, the United States is reducing its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere and increasing its...

The Strange Fear of Russia

George Friedman - December 29, 2025

There is talk of Russia moving into Belarus, launching attacks on Latvia and Lithuania, and preparing a massive operation in and around the Black...

The Geopolitical Logic for Latin American Intervention

George Friedman - December 22, 2025

The U.S. National Security Strategy released earlier this month contained a couple of related priorities that have informed recent U.S. actions abroad: reducing U.S....

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