South Pacific

Forecast Tracker: 2019 First Quarter Update

The U.S. and China negotiate on trade, Russian frustrations simmer, European economies struggle.

When and Why the Suppliers of Oil Matter

More often than not, it doesn’t matter where oil comes from. But the exceptions to this rule can be critical.

Toward a New Geopolitical Model

Note: I have received a staggering number of comments from readers on the first two installments in this series. As most of you know,...

The World in 2019: A Year on the Edge

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

Daily Memo: The Global Economic Outlook Is Grim

All the news worth knowing today.

Daily Memo: A Lost War in China, a ‘Troika of Tyranny’

All the news worth knowing today.

Saudi Arabia Reaches Its Moment of Reckoning, the Quad Keeps Things Informal

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

The Predictive Power of Demography

History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.

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How Wars End

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America in Transition &
The Geopolitics of the American President

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