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Daily Memo: Russia Sanctions, Indo-Pacific Deterrence

Geopolitical Futures -

Navalny sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department on Tuesday announced sanctions against seven Russian officials in connection with the alleged poisoning and subsequent detention of opposition leader Alexei Navalny. Earlier in the day, the European Union had unveiled its own measures against four Russian officials. The Russian president’s spokesman accused Washington and Brussels of interfering in […]

Australia’s Role in America’s War With China

Jacek Bartosiak -
In U.S. plans for a war with China, Australia serves as a base for peripheral operations in the Indian Ocean and in the Indonesian...

Daily Memo: Israeli Ship Explosion, Turkish Economic Growth

Geopolitical Futures -
Pointing fingers. Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz blamed Iran for an explosion on an Israeli-owned cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman over the...

Daily Memo: Brussels’ Frustrations, Cuba’s Economic Opening

Geopolitical Futures -
Russian resistance. EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said Russia was not interested in a “constructive dialogue with the EU” following his visit to...

Daily Memo: Global Chip Crunch Continues to Bite

Geopolitical Futures -
Chip crunch. Ford on Thursday said it would cut production at two U.S. plants where it builds the popular F-150 next week due to...

Daily Memo: EU Vaccine Threats, Conte’s Resignation

Geopolitical Futures -
Conte resigns. Discussions on forming a new Italian government will begin on Wednesday after Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte resigned on Tuesday. Conte has...

Daily Memo: Chinese Exports Surge, Iranian Moves Escalate Tensions

Geopolitical Futures -
Chinese trade. Chinese exports in December jumped a whopping 18.1 percent compared with the same month a year earlier – a month that, looking...

The World in 2021

Geopolitical Futures -
Introduction Our 2020 global forecast began as follows: Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...

Forecast Tracker: 2020 Year-End Review

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss Global Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress...

Daily Memo: Duterte’s Threats, Pakistani Attacks

Geopolitical Futures -
Philippine threats. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte is threatening, yet again, to scrap Manila's pivotal Visiting Forces Agreement with Washington if the U.S. doesn't deliver...

Daily Memo: Brexit Buzz, Deceptive Economic Data

Geopolitical Futures -
Hope for a deal. Optimism is growing that the European Union and the United Kingdom will reach a post-Brexit free trade deal, potentially by...

Daily Memo: Threats of Retaliation in the Middle East

Geopolitical Futures -
Israel prepares for attack. Israel successfully carried out a series of air defense tests involving its short-range Iron Dome system, medium-range David’s Sling, and...
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