South Pacific

Daily Memo: Update on Hormuz, Intel on Iranian Weapons

Geopolitical Futures - April 3, 2026

A first. A French-owned container ship passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, becoming the first known vessel flying a flag from a Western European country to sail through the waterway since the war in Iran began. According to ship tracking data, the vessel, owned by French shipping company CMA CGM, signaled its French […]

Daily Memo: Iran Makes Preparations

Geopolitical Futures - March 26, 2026

New developments. Iran is stationing additional military personnel and air defense systems on Kharg Island in preparation for a possible U.S. ground operation, CNN...

Daily Memo: Iran Denies Negotiation Rumors

Geopolitical Futures - March 24, 2026

Denials. Iranian officials and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps denied reports of negotiations with the United States on ending their war. Separately, Iranian President...

Daily Memo: US Deployment, Kurdish Concerns

Geopolitical Futures - March 12, 2026

Reinforcement. The United States will send up to 500 troops to Romania to support the U.S. operation in Iran. The Romanian parliament on Wednesday...

Daily Memo: US-Iran Developments, Egypt-Russia Talks

Geopolitical Futures - February 11, 2026

Turning up the heat. The U.S. has considered seizing tankers carrying Iranian oil to increase pressure on Tehran, according to a Wall Street Journal...

2026 Forecast: Re-anchoring the World

Geopolitical Futures - January 16, 2026

Global In 2025, we noted that the world was becoming more unanchored compared to years past. Since World War II, the global order had had...

The Military Benefits of Quantum Technology

Andrew Davidson - December 24, 2025

Modern militaries increasingly depend on the continuous functioning of complex systems rather than on decisive battlefield victories. Military advantages, then, are created less by...

Daily Memo: Ukraine’s European Backers Get Weak in the Knees

Geopolitical Futures - December 4, 2025

Paying for it. Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said it would be “premature” for Rome to participate in NATO’s program to buy U.S. weapons...

Daily Memo: Russian Presence on the Ukraine Border and the Red Sea

Geopolitical Futures - December 2, 2025

Security zone. Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed the Russian military’s North Forces Group to create a security zone along the border with Ukraine during...

New Cable Connections to Christmas Island

Geopolitical Futures - November 28, 2025

(click to enlarge) For more than three decades, Christmas Island has depended on phosphate mining and exports for its economic livelihood. But these supplies won’t...

On the Global Gen Z Protests

Ekaterina Zolotova - November 18, 2025

Over the past few months, a wave of protests led by members of Generation Z has swept over the world. They have largely taken...

Daily Memo: Developments in the Caribbean, Terrorist Attack in Pakistan

Geopolitical Futures - November 12, 2025

Fallout. Colombia will stop sharing intelligence with the United States until the Trump administration suspends strikes against suspected drug traffickers in the Caribbean, Colombian...

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