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Daily Memo: China’s Warning for the Philippines

At a crossroads. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told Philippine Foreign Secretary Enrique A. Manalo that relations between Beijing and Manila are at a ā€œcrossroads.ā€ Following multiple confrontations earlier this month between Chinese and Philippine vessels in the South China Sea, Wang warned the Philippines to ā€œact with caution.ā€ According to Chinese state media, he […]

Daily Memo: European Migration Deal, Russia-China Talks

Breakthrough. EU institutions agreed to a landmark deal on how to manage migration after years of talks. Under the agreement, southern European countries will...

How New Zealand Could Save the Five Eyes

New Zealand’s new government was elected in October but has already signaled what its foreign policy will look like – and it revolves around...

Daily Memo: Discord in Serbia, Arrests in Jordan

Serbian vote. A Serbian opposition coalition called "Serbia Against Violence" demanded at a protest on Monday that the results of Sunday’s legislative elections be...

Defining Global Economic Issues in 2024

Almost a year ago, we highlighted several trends that would define the world economy in the coming years. Briefly, they were trade and economic...

Daily Memo: EU Moves Closer to New Russia Sanctions

More sanctions. The European Union is expected to adopt a 12th package of sanctions against Russia this week after Austria agreed not to block...

Hezbollah Mobilizes

Hezbollah is mobilizing its forces in the south Litani area in preparation for a full-scale war with Israel. That the group will not voluntarily...

Daily Memo: Israel on a Possible Conflict With Hezbollah

Israel and Hezbollah. In talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan reportedly said the U.S. would support Israel...

2024 Annual Forecast: The United States

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Daily Memo: Putin’s Message on Ukraine, the US Open to Cooperation With Niger

Year-end review. Moscow will not end its ā€œspecial military operationā€ in Ukraine until it meets its objectives, Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a...

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