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Regional Directory

Daily Memo: Strikes Against the Houthis, More UK Aid for Ukraine

Retaliation. The United States and the United Kingdom launched strikes against targets linked to the Houthi rebels in Yemen in response to the group’s repeated attacks on shipping lanes in the Red Sea. With the support of Australia, Bahrain, Canada and the Netherlands, the two countries hit 60 targets in 16 locations. Houthi leader Abdel […]

Europe Comes to Boil: the Balkans, Hungary and Russia

A few months ago, when Gaza joined Ukraine as a theater of intense war, I wrote about another potential conflict emerging in the Balkans....

Daily Memo: Declining Revenue for Russian Oil and Gas

Russia's energy sector. Russia’s Finance Ministry reported that revenue from oil and gas sales totaled 8.8 trillion rubles ($98 billion) in 2023, a 23.9...

2024 Annual Forecast: India’s Transformation

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Daily Memo: US-China Talks, North Korean Weapons

Resuming dialogue. China and the United States held defense talks in Washington on Tuesday for the first time since 2022, when the meetings were...

Ukraine in 2024

The war in Gaza, an election year in the U.S., the continued disruption of supply chains and oil markets – whatever the reason, there...

The Coming War Between Israel and Hezbollah

Ever since the inconclusive 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war, a rematch – and clear Israeli victory – has seemed inevitable. That conflict is now at hand....

Daily Memo: Riyadh Slashes Oil Prices, German Farmers Protest

Oil price cuts. Saudi Arabia will lower oil prices for consumers in all regions for February amid weak global demand. While consumption typically dips...

2024 Annual Forecast: China’s Modern Dynasty

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

The Strategies of the Israel-Hamas War

It is difficult to understand the strategy of a country at war sitting outside the command center. However, when analyzed from the initiation of...

Daily Memo: Another Houthi Attack, the Future of Gaza

Tensions in the Red Sea. The Yemen-based Houthi rebels launched another attack on commercial shipping lanes in the Red Sea on Thursday. The group...

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