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Regional Directory

Daily Memo: Russia Steps Up Air Patrols Near Syria-Israel Border

Shielding Iran? Russia is increasing its military presence in southwestern Syria, near the border with Israel, to complicate and deter further Israeli airstrikes in Syria against Iranian and Iranian-backed targets, according to commentary in Israeli outlet Ynet. On Jan. 17, a Russian helicopter patrolled the airspace over the Golan Heights, and a day later a […]

The Future of an Escalating US-Iran Conflict

Iran’s efforts to challenge the United States in the Middle East are reaching an inflection point. After decades of reshaping the domestic political environments...

Daily Memo: NATO on Edge

Stark warnings. NATO member states should be prepared for a possible war with Russia within the next 20 years, a top NATO official warned...

2024 Annual Forecast: Latin America

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Daily Memo: Pakistan Hits Back at Iran, Shippers Warn of Delays

Pakistan strikes back. Two days after Iran conducted missile strikes against militants in Pakistan’s Balochistan province, Pakistan responded with its own strikes in Iran’s...

2024 Annual Forecast: Japan

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Daily Memo: Blowback Over Iranian Strikes Continues

With friends like these. Less than a day after Iran carried out missile strikes against targets in Iraq and Syria, Iranian missiles on Tuesday...

2024 Annual Forecast: Europe

Strikes and demonstrations are nothing new for Europe, but two factors distinguish the latest bout: its transnational nature and its concentration in specific economic...

Daily Memo: Iran Strikes Target in Iraq, North Korea Rejects Reunification

Middle East escalation. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it launched an airstrike on an Israeli ā€œespionage centerā€ in Iraq’s Kurdistan region. Tehran said...

AUKUS in 2024

The trilateral security partnership comprising the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia – known simply as AUKUS – is among the most interesting...

Daily Memo: Taiwan Holds Elections, Manila Reveals Plans for the South China Sea

Historic vote. Taiwan held presidential and legislative elections on Saturday. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party, led by Vice President Lai Ching-te, won a historic...

2024 Annual Forecast: Russia

After the Soviet Union collapsed, Russia was in a state of crisis. Its economy slowly recovered thanks in part to an influx of technologies...

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