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June 4, 2024

Last week, Moscow revived an oft-repeated threat to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Their use, of course, requires a few important things. They must...

Daily Memo: State of Russian Manufacturing, Turkish Forces in Syria

June 3, 2024

Russian business. Russia’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index rose to 54.4 points in May, up slightly from 54.3 in April. (A value above 50 points...

The Reality of Russo-Chinese Relations

June 3, 2024

There’s a building in a certain district of Moscow that has adapted to geopolitical trends better than most others. Until 2020, it was car...

Daily Memo: Clearance for Ukrainian Strikes in Russia, Turkey Gets Suspicious

May 31, 2024

War and peace. China will not join the Swiss peace conference on Ukraine due to significant differences between the summit's conditions and China's demands,...

A New Front in the US-China Trade War

May 31, 2024

In mid-May, U.S. President Joe Biden unveiled a proposal for new tariffs on a variety of Chinese imports. This year, the U.S. will raise...

Daily Memo: Russia Raises Taxes, Houthis Get Anti-Ship Missile

May 30, 2024

Death and taxes. Russia is planning tax hikes to help pay for its protracted war in Ukraine. The corporate tax rate will increase to...

Egypt, Caught in the Crossfire

May 30, 2024

On May 27, an Egyptian border guard was fatally shot at the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and the Gaza Strip. According to a...

Daily Memo: Trespassers in the South China Sea, Latest North Korean Threats

May 29, 2024

Trespassers. The president of the Philippines raised serious concern about China’s new policy of detaining “foreign trespassers” in the South China Sea, including the...

Russian Strategy in the Sahel

May 29, 2024

A date has been set for the United States to fully demobilize from its military bases in Niger. On Sept. 15, American forces will...

Daily Memo: Russia-Belarus Drills, Putin in Uzbekistan

May 28, 2024

Russian defense. Russia and Belarus began a joint air drill on Monday, part of efforts to improve air defense systems and coordination. Relatedly, the...

Putin’s Peace Plan

May 28, 2024

Under President Vladimir Putin, Russia invaded Ukraine under the assumption that Ukraine’s defeat would be rapid and complete, bringing Russia to NATO’s eastern border....