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Kuwait’s Denaturalization Policy

Over the past year, Kuwait has undertaken a massive campaign to revoke citizenship based on a decree by the ruling emir, Sheikh Meshal Al Ahmad Al Jaber to reorganize the country’s Nationality Law. The campaign includes a review of cases of acquisition of citizenship by dependents – mainly through marriage – after the government introduced […]

The World in 2025

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

Aluminum Prices and US Tariffs

(click to enlarge) U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico, if implemented, will likely disrupt the global aluminum market. A similar pattern emerged during U.S. President...

Daily Memo: Abkhazia’s Russian Ties, Syria’s Position on Russian Bases

Reaching out to Moscow. Abkhaz political figure Badra Gunba, who is running for president of the breakaway Georgian region, held talks in Moscow with...

An Attempt at Explaining Trump’s Foreign Policy

U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has begun with a clear intent to reshape U.S. foreign policy. His aggressive use of tariffs against China...

Daily Memo: Syrian Leader Speaks With Macron, German Economy Gets a Boost

French invitation. French President Emmanuel Macron invited Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa to visit France in the coming weeks. During a call on Tuesday, they...

2025 Forecast: India

India is a rapidly emerging global player with immense potential, but its rise is encumbered by its complex domestic politics and challenging strategic environment....

Daily Memo: Russian Missiles for India, US Weapons for Egypt

Russian weapons. India signed a contract with Russia to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles, the Indian Defense Ministry said. The ministry added that the weapons...

2025 Forecast: United States

The United States’ goal is to preserve national security, economic well-being and internal stability in a world filled with countries pursuing the same ends,...

Daily Memo: Chinese Tariffs on US Goods, Turkish Support for Syria

Retaliation. China announced that it will impose tariffs of 15 percent on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas and 10 percent on U.S. crude...

America’s Sixth Socio-Economic Cycle

In my books “The Next 100 Years” and “The Storm Before the Calm,” I introduced a model of U.S. history consisting of political cycles...

Daily Memo: European Automakers Take a Hit on Mexico Tariffs

European impact. Shares of European automakers dropped substantially following the Trump administration’s announcement of 25 percent tariffs on imports from Mexico, a key production...
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