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Daily Memo: Developments on Ukraine and European Defense

Alternative path. Four of U.S. President Donald Trump’s associates have held secret talks with former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and members of former Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko’s European Solidarity party, Politico reported. The discussions focused on the possibility of holding presidential elections after a temporary ceasefire is reached and before comprehensive peace talks. Meanwhile, […]

The Constraints Shaping US Conflict Resolution

The international system has been in flux for more than three decades, yet the United States has relied on outdated tools and strategies to...

Daily Memo: German Rearmament, US Looks for Mediator on Iran

Releasing the brake. Germany’s likely incoming chancellor, Friedrich Merz, announced plans to modify the country’s so-called debt brake to permit a massive increase in defense spending....

China Shifts Its Attitude on the Private Sector

Last month, Chinese President Xi Jinping assembled China’s top corporate leaders for a business forum in Beijing, the first such event since 2018. He...

Daily Memo: US Cuts Off Ukraine, Hits Neighbors and China With New Tariffs

High and dry. U.S. President Donald Trump has frozen all military aid to Ukraine until he feels its leadership is committed to peace negotiations....

The Ukraine War and the Consequences for Russia

I have come under criticism lately from those who challenge my view that Russia is in decline and is not a threat for the...

Daily Memo: Kurdish Ceasefire in Turkey, Leadership Split in Iran

New phase. The Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, declared over the weekend a ceasefire with Turkey, days after its jailed leader called on the...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

Israel’s Intelligence Failure

Hamas' attack on Oct. 7, 2023, was not Israel’s first intelligence failure. In the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, Israel was surprised by Egypt and Syria's...

Daily Memo: Kurdish Group in Turkey Weighs Its Future

Giving up the struggle? The jailed leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party on Thursday called on the group to lay down its arms and dissolve...

Germany Is Divided Again

Germany’s next government will inherit a country more polarized than at any time in recent history. Every German federal election since World War II...

Daily Memo: Moscow’s Advice for Tehran

Mediation. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reportedly told his Iranian counterpart during a trip to Tehran that Moscow was willing to act as a...
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