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Trade War and the Correlation of Forces

Using a model for analyzing military conflicts, we weigh the cost of a trade war to the U.S. and to its trading partners.

An Eventful Week in the Syrian War

Pro-regime forces have joined the battle for Afrin.

In Brazil, the Government Walks a Fine Line With Military Deployment

Putting the military in charge of security in Rio de Janeiro stirs memories of the country’s years of military rule.

In Eastern Ukraine, No Good Options Remain

Rebel-held Luhansk now stands on the frontline of the conflict between East and West.

Saudi Arabia on the Sidelines

The kingdom is a spectator watching Iran, Turkey, Israel, Russia and the U.S. compete to reshape the region.

China: Herding Rivals and Rhinos

Socio-economic and political factors fuel Xi’s quest for power.

The Middle of an Era

Only now is the full power of what started in 2008 being felt.

After the Olympics, the Chinese Reach Out

Once the guarantor of South Korea’s security, the U.S. now looks like the greatest threat to it.

The German Question

If the European project is going to be revived, then Germany must be the engine of its revival.

The EMP Threat: How It Works and What It Means for the Korean Crisis

Given the uncertainty surrounding the crisis, the threat of a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse attack can’t be dismissed completely.

The World After McMaster

The national security adviser has been a stabilizing force. What will happen if he leaves his post?

Ethiopia’s Unrest Invites Global Competition

For countries interested in establishing a foothold in the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia could soon be looking for patrons.

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