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Daily Memo: Unsettled Trade Settlements, China Overtakes Russia in the Pentagon’s Eyes

Trade deal uncertainty. Pen was finally put to paper in both the U.S.-China “phase one” trade deal and the new NAFTA last week, but implementation of both agreements is already proving tricky. As we forecast, the phase one deal leaves the biggest points of contention between the U.S. and China unsettled, ensuring that bilateral trade […]

The Russian Military: Moscow’s Greatest Ally and Worst Enemy

The first installment in a three-part series exploring the past, present and future of Russian military reform.

Brexit After the Election: For the UK, the Political Risk Is Only Beginning

Conservatives in London must manage England’s relationships with Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales as it departs the EU.

Daily Memo: US Missile Test, Trade Deal Confusion, Brexit Go-Ahead

RIP, INF. The Pentagon tested a conventionally configured ground-launched ballistic missile from Vandenberg Air Force base in California. The test was formally prohibited by...

Cracks Appear in the Turkey-Russia Partnership

The contradictions in the Turkish-Russian relationship, which seemed on the surface to be blossoming in recent months, are beginning to show themselves. Any one...

Daily Memo: The Lebanese Crisis, Lavrov’s Washington Visit, Argentine Debt

The uncertainty in Lebanon doesn't seem to be subsiding, and the Russian foreign minister holds meetings in Washington.

The Internet and the Tragedy of the Commons

Jan. 4, 2017 The expectation of anonymity online has become extreme.

Daily Memo: Defense Budgets, Trade Deals, Aramco Shares

The U.S. Congress releases the Pentagon budget for the next fiscal year, and the U.S., Canada and Mexico officially sign NAFTA 2.0.

The European Union Divided Over Belarus

Different approaches toward Minsk reveal yet another split within an already divided EU.

Daily Memo: Gulf Thaw, Trade Talks Progress, Turkey Pushes Boundaries

Progress in GCC-Qatar dispute. There are promising signs at the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Saudi Arabia that Gulf tensions are easing. Qatar sent...

Pearl Harbor and the Strategy of Economic Sanctions

There have been many lessons drawn from the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. One was that wars need not begin according to international law....

Daily Memo: North Korea Ups the Ante, the US Still Pivots to Asia, Ukraine and Russia Talk

Things between the U.S. and North Korea have been relatively quiet since 2018; expect this to change dramatically in 2020.
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