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China Stays the Course, Straight Into the Storm

What Beijing fears most is economic shock, not stagnation.

Daily Memo: Eastern Mediterranean Tensions, German Stagnation, Europe’s Stance on Iran

Greece expels the Turkish ambassador to Athens, and German industry shows more signs of contraction.

Turkey Tests the Waters in the Eastern Mediterranean

With its maritime deal with Libya, Ankara is harkening back to the peak of the Ottoman Empire’s influence.

Daily Memo: The US Case Against Iran, South Korea and China Meet, the EU Warns Mexico

The Pentagon hasn’t commented on recent attacks in Iraq, but leaks provide some details.

Daily Memo: North Korean Threats, NATO Friction, the Endless Trade War

North Korea tells the U.S. it's running out of time to negotiate, and NATO members meet in London.

Saudi Arabia’s Security Dilemma

Despite the burgeoning threats in the Middle East, the Saudi armed forces remain a paper tiger at best.

Daily Memo: Russo-China Cooperation, Turkish Financial Planning

A partnership between Moscow and Beijing has always been elusive.

A Common Theme of Global Unrest

From Hong Kong to Tehran to Buenos Aires, the world appears to be destabilizing. The question that has been raised is whether there is...

Daily Memo: US Oil Exports, Hong Kong and Trade, Chinese Manufacturing

The U.S. was a net oil exporter in September.

Turkey, the NATO Summit Spoiler

The alliance has failed to serve Turkey’s growing interests.

Forecast Tracker: 2019 November Update

A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. On track Washington’s willingness to settle for...

Visiting Istanbul

I am writing this from Istanbul, trying not to count how many Thanksgivings I have spent without my children and grandchildren. But as they...
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