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Daily Memo: Restrictions Ease and China’s Economy Contracts

It’s perhaps the worse quarter for Beijing since the 1960s.

Postponing an Oil Production Catastrophe

Fresh off helping to broker a global agreement on oil production cuts on April 12, U.S. President Donald Trump has declared American cuts a...

Daily Memo: Grim Economic Data in the U.S.

Bad news comes as tensions rise in the Persian Gulf and South China Sea.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Prisms of Thought

When I began the Thoughts column, I explained that I was using it as a space for thinking about a new book intended to...

Daily Memo: Weighing Out Costs of the Coronavirus Crisis

WHO will pay for it? The United States has cut off its payments to the World Health Organization (WHO) over the agency's alleged mismanagement...

The Myth of the Middle East Regional Powers

In an April 10 teleconference meeting among Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan predicted the emergence of a new world...

Daily Memo: Disastrous Growth Forecasts and Unhealthy Banks

Economic damage assessment. The International Monetary Fund trimmed its global growth forecast on Tuesday. The IMF is projecting the coronavirus slowdown to be the...

Coronavirus and the Peril of Politicizing Medicine

Even medical institutions are political.

Daily Memo: Food Supply Fears, Oil Supply Deals

Food supply. There are currently no major shortages of staple foods, but that hasn’t stopped consumers and governments from worrying. Last week, Romania banned...

The Coming Decline of Global Trade

(click to enlarge) The World Trade Organization revised its forecast for global trade this year to reflect the impact of the coronavirus pandemic — and...

Daily Memo: Battles of Coronabonds and Oil Prices

The first rounds are over. The second rounds are likely coming.

Turkey, the Coronavirus Risk-Taker

In early April, as the coronavirus pandemic descended on Europe and the Middle East, Turkey looked like it had it made. It boasted the...

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