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China Threatens Australia Because That’s All It Can Do

As cases of COVID-19 resurge elsewhere in the world, it’s worth remembering that Australia whipped the coronavirus into submission with relative ease, reducing the number of new daily cases to single digits by mid-April. Yet, the pandemic has left Australia with an acute case of economic and diplomatic whiplash anyway, not because of its public […]

Daily Memo: Troubling German Trade Figures

Troubling German trade figures. German exports declined in April by 24 percent month over month and 31.1 percent year over year – the largest...

D-Day and Stalin

Editor’s Note: The following analysis was published on the anniversary of D-Day in 2019. It has been lightly edited. Over 70 years after it was...

Daily Memo: US to Pull Troops From Germany

The U.S. draws down. U.S. President Donald Trump reportedly plans to reduce the number of U.S. troops stationed in Germany by 9,500 and cap...

The Black Sea: The Key to Eurasian Stability?

Halford Mackinder, one of the founding fathers of geopolitics, said that if the Heartland was unstable, the world was unstable. And since the Heartland...

Daily Memo: Russian Oil Will Stay in Russia

Russia redirects exports. Russia’s Ministry of Energy instructed Russian oil companies to redirect a significant portion of oil products meant for export to the...

The Rivalry Between Iran’s Armed Services

A longstanding struggle between the services of Iran’s armed forces spilled into the open this week after the government’s official news agency published an...

Daily Memo: An Anniversary of Political Unrest

31 years after Tiananmen Square. Thursday is the 31st anniversary of the deadly crackdown in Tiananmen Square, when the military opened fire on thousands...

The Beginning of the Cyclic Shift

A number of people have asked me if the events this week are what I was predicting in my book, “The Storm Before the...

Daily Memo: An Alliance Survives

The U.S.-Philippine alliance revived. On Tuesday, Philippine Foreign Secretary Teodoro Locsin said Manila had suspended the termination of the Visiting Forces Agreement. While the...

Mother Nature as a Geopolitical Force

History is biased, and not just because the victors tend to write it. The study of history is largely the study of humankind –...

Daily Memo: India-China Standoff Gets More Complicated

India’s frictions with its neighbors are becoming more entwined. The Pakistani and Chinese governments on Tuesday finalized an agreement on implementation of the Kohala...
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