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For Russia, the Future Is North

Stabilizing its Arctic regions is becoming a priority for Moscow.

Daily Memo: China Tightens Its Belt and Road

Beijing tightens its Belt and Road. China on Friday admitted that nearly a fifth of its BRI projects have been "seriously affected” by the...

Why the Himalayas Are Worth Fighting For

It says quite a bit about the sheer improbability of a major China-India war in the Himalayas that this week’s deadly clash in the...

Turkey and Iran’s Entente in Iraq

Earlier this week, there appeared to be a thaw in tensions between Iran and Turkey. After months of tense exchanges, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad...

Daily Memo: Russia’s Regional Budgets, US-UK Trade

Russian government revenue falls. According to a study by the HSE Center of Development Institute, revenues for Russia’s regions fell on average by 30...

Daily Memo: Clarity on the Himalayan Skirmish, More Confusion in Korea

Sticks, stones and 15,000-foot cliffs. As it turns out, the first casualties since 1975 in the India-China Himalayan standoff came not from a firefight,...

Latin America’s Place in the World

Whether they like it or not, most countries are drawn into the international system in one way or another. For this reason, introducing the...

Daily Memo: Making Sense of India, China and North Korea

Actual deaths on the Line of Actual Control. Violent clashes broke out Monday in the Galwan Valley, a disputed area in the Himalayas on...

Recession or Depression

In March, we declared our 2020 forecast null and void. The COVID-19 pandemic had essentially rendered it irrelevant. The question we posed in March...

Daily Memo: Beijing’s New Coronavirus Outbreak

Beijing catches a big wave. The Chinese capital is scrambling to contain a substantial new COVID-19 outbreak involving at least 79 new cases, most...

The US Walks a Fine Line in Eastern Europe

In early June, White House National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien signed a memorandum authorizing yet another drawdown of American troops, this time directing the...

Measuring the Economic Damage in Europe

(click to enlarge) The economic damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic is such that it’s nearly impossible to accurately measure. Still, some numbers are starting...

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