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Daily Memo: Renewed Tensions in Syria, Washington and Brussels Reach Truce

Rumblings in Syria. Turkish forces fired heavy artillery over the weekend at a Syrian village called al-Dibs, located on the Aleppo-Hasaka M4 highway north of Raqqa, as speculation grows that Ankara is planning a new offensive in northeast Syria. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces had mobilized new recruits in Raqqa and Hasaka to plan for […]

A Long-Term US Strategy for Latin America

When U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted last month that the U.S. had a mixed record on improving civilian security in Latin American...

Daily Memo: Eurozone Growth Continues, Supply Chain Costs Add Up

Europe's economic performance. Economic growth in the eurozone continued in the third quarter, reaching 2.2 percent – up slightly from 2.1 percent in the...

Daily Memo: Relief on the Way for Europe’s Gas Crunch

European replenishment. Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered Gazprom to refill European natural gas storage facilities beginning next month to help ease the Continent’s energy...

Why Uprisings in the Middle East Fail

The uprisings in 2010-11 against autocratic Arab regimes stunned the world. The region’s ruling oligarchs were known for systematically suppressing even the slightest manifestations...

Daily Memo: Poland Invests in Its Military, Ukraine Targets Rebels With Turkish Drones

Boost for the Polish army. The Polish government unveiled a plan to increase its defense budget and more than double the size of its...

Xi Jinping’s Coming Winter of Discontent

At some point, roughly a year from now, the Communist Party of China will hold its semidecennial Party Congress. It's always a very big...

Daily Memo: Cyberattack Targets Iranian Fuel, Beijing Reaches Out to the Taliban

Cyberattack in Iran. A cyberattack forced the closure of gas stations across Iran on Tuesday. The attack made it impossible to purchase subsidized fuel...

Forecasting Time

Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...

Daily Memo: Sudan Coup, Turkey Expels Western Ambassadors

Sudan coup. Sudanese forces detained Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok and other Cabinet members and announced the dissolution of the transitional government. The army chief...

Russia’s Biggest Advantage in Africa

There’s been much talk of late about Russia’s growing presence in Africa, and indeed, it has many military and economic operations throughout the continent....

Daily Memo: Biden’s Comments on Taiwan, Evergrande Meets Deadline

U.S. commitment to Taiwan. U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday, in response to a town hall question on whether the U.S. would defend Taiwan...
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