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George Friedman’s Thoughts: A Month of Travel

December 19, 2019

Since the beginning of November, I have traveled, in sequence, to Dubai, Calgary, New York, Istanbul, Zurich and London, with quick stopovers at home as possible, to catch my breath and try my hand at running a business. The schedule was sufficiently intense that I had to beg off writing my Thoughts column last week. […]

Daily Memo: Denuclearizing North Korea, Redefining Trade, Courting India

December 18, 2019

Regional actors appear to be coalescing around the issue of Pyongyang’s controversial program.

The Unspoken Mission of the Lebanese Army

December 18, 2019

The army’s leadership is determined to assert its leadership throughout the country, despite Hezbollah’s rise.

Daily Memo: Syria Reconstruction, German Labor Shortages, Nuclear North Korea

December 17, 2019

Damascus intends to rebuild the country before the war even ends.

The Posh Versus the Blokes in the UK

December 17, 2019

I arrived in London on Saturday afternoon. Traffic was heavy and it took nearly two hours to reach my hotel, giving ample time to...

Daily Memo: Unsettled Trade Settlements, China Overtakes Russia in the Pentagon’s Eyes

December 16, 2019

Trade deal uncertainty. Pen was finally put to paper in both the U.S.-China “phase one” trade deal and the new NAFTA last week, but...

The Russian Military: Moscow’s Greatest Ally and Worst Enemy

December 16, 2019

The first installment in a three-part series exploring the past, present and future of Russian military reform.

Brexit After the Election: For the UK, the Political Risk Is Only Beginning

December 13, 2019

Conservatives in London must manage England’s relationships with Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales as it departs the EU.

Daily Memo: US Missile Test, Trade Deal Confusion, Brexit Go-Ahead

December 13, 2019

RIP, INF. The Pentagon tested a conventionally configured ground-launched ballistic missile from Vandenberg Air Force base in California. The test was formally prohibited by...

Cracks Appear in the Turkey-Russia Partnership

December 13, 2019

The contradictions in the Turkish-Russian relationship, which seemed on the surface to be blossoming in recent months, are beginning to show themselves. Any one...