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Regional Directory

Daily Memo: China’s Recovery, No Chips and Surprise Trips

China’s economy sputters. A data dump coming Wednesday is expected to show slumps in several Chinese economic indicators in August, including industrial production and consumption. September isn’t looking much better. There’s a new outbreak of the delta variant in at least two cities, leading to sharp new curbs on travel. And the country is still […]

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Brief: North Korea Tests a Missile and Biden

Background: North Korea has been relatively quiet for the past year or so while it deals with pandemic pressures and other internal matters, which...

What Rising Prices Reveal About the Russian Grain Market

Last May, the U.S. Department of Agriculture published a rather optimistic forecast for the 2021 grain harvest in Russia. It stated that Russia would...

Mercosur’s Changing Trade Patterns

(click to enlarge) In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay established Mercosur to increase their participation in global trade and improve their negotiating positions with...

Daily Memo: Biden and Xi Talk, Nord Stream 2 Completed

Biden-Xi call. U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping held their first phone call since February. Biden’s aims were reportedly pretty modest:...

John F. Kennedy and the Origin of Wars Without End

I’ve spent the past few weeks trying to answer a fundamental question: Why did the United States, economically and militarily the most powerful nation...

Brief: Armenia Shakes Up the Caucasus

Background: In the Caucasus, major regional powers Russia, Turkey and Iran compete for influence over the former Soviet republics of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia....

Hezbollah’s Waning Shiite Support

Last month, prominent Hezbollah figure Nawar al-Sahili held a lavish wedding for his daughter in Lebanon. The swanky affair, complete with ornate decor and...

Brief: Uruguay Breaks With Mercosur

Background: South America’s two largest economies, Brazil and Argentina, led efforts in 1991 to establish the Southern Common Market, known as Mercosur, with Paraguay...

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