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A New Phase in the Ukraine War

Wars tend to unfold in phases, though it’s never clear how many phases there will be when the war breaks out, and less clear still where one phase ends and another begins until after the fact. It’s all part and parcel of the fog of war. What’s certain is that the first phase of war […]

Daily Memo: Ukraine Update, EU Diplomat in Tehran

Ukraine update. Ukrainian forces have been ordered to withdraw from the embattled city of Severodonetsk in eastern Ukraine, according to the top regional official...

Daily Memo: A New Era for Turkey and Saudi Arabia, the Eurozone’s Slowing Economy

New era. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman declared the opening of a new era of bilateral relations...

The Turkish Opposition’s Plan to Unseat Erdogan in 2023

Turkey is set to hold presidential elections in June 2023. They will come at a difficult time for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he...

Daily Memo: Drones Strike Russian Refinery, Black Sea Security

Drone attack. A Russian oil refinery near Ukraine was attacked by two drones, causing a fire and halting operations. The attack is believed to...

The Paradox of a Strong Ruble

After a precipitous fall at the beginning of the war in Ukraine and the imposition of large-scale Western sanctions, the Russian ruble has surged...

Daily Memo: Salman in Egypt, Natural Gas for Lebanon

Regional tour. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman arrived in Egypt for talks on bilateral cooperation and global issues. The two countries signed 14...

The Evolution of Great Powers

The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical changes happening in the world today. Throughout the 20th century,...

Daily Memo: Lithuania Blocks Kaliningrad Imports

No-go. Lithuania banned the transportation of EU-sanctioned goods to Russia's exclave of Kaliningrad through its territory after consultations with the European Commission. Russian presidential...

No Break With the US After Colombian Election

Colombia has elected a new president, and the moment of truth has arrived. The most remarkable thing about the Colombian election was not the...

Cycles of Turmoil

(click to enlarge) Political leadership in Arab countries is often a poisoned chalice. Violence and upheaval have been hallmarks of political transition in the Middle...

Daily Memo: Romanian Grain, Belarusian and Ukrainian Deployments

Romanian grain. Romania’s agriculture minister said the country’s grain harvest will be lower this year compared to last year due to weather conditions and...

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