Central Asia

Daily Memo: China’s Blackouts, Japan’s Defense

China’s grid. China’s electricity crunch seems to be getting worse. Rolling blackouts have reportedly begun in several major cities, including Beijing and Shanghai. The cuts are mostly policy-driven; provincial authorities are cutting usage to comply with annual consumption caps and carbon targets set by the central government. So in theory, if things get really bad, […]

Daily Memo: German Election Results, Supply Chain Snags

German elections. Germany’s Social Democratic Party won the most seats in Sunday’s national elections, narrowly beating Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union. Both parties...

Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

Daily Memo: More Missile Tests

Follow-up North Korean missile tests. North Korea followed up its cruise missile tests over the weekend with a test of something more familiar: short-range...

Daily Memo: China’s Recovery, No Chips and Surprise Trips

China’s economy sputters. A data dump coming Wednesday is expected to show slumps in several Chinese economic indicators in August, including industrial production and...

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Daily Memo: Missile Tests and Lots of Bilateral Talks

Korean missile tests. South Korea reportedly conducted a successful test of a new submarine-launched ballistic missile late last week. It’s a major leap in...

Daily Memo: New Figures on Chinese Exports, British Warships Deployed to Indo-Pacific

Humming along. Chinese exports continue to hum along, according to new August figures, despite deeply disruptive, pandemic-related closures at major ports and a number...

Daily Memo: Seoul’s New Defense Blueprint, Israel’s New Port on the Med

Defense blueprint. South Korea’s Defense Ministry says it’s developing new, more powerful ballistic missiles with 3-ton payloads theoretically capable of destroying underground bunkers –...

Daily Memo: Delta Disrupts China’s Recovery, EU Braces for Refugees

Chinese slowdown. China's services sector is getting slammed by the COVID-19 delta variant, with sporadic lockdowns in China over the past month leading to...

Brief: Russia Reinforces Its Buffer in Central Asia

Background: Central Asia buffers Russia from the ongoing instability in Afghanistan, but Moscow fears that increased migration and the threat of terrorism and extremism...

Daily Memo: Explosions in Kabul

Afghanistan in crisis. Two explosions took place outside Kabul airport on Thursday, the Pentagon confirmed. Few details were available at the time of writing,...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscription Special



The World in 2026

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now