Central Asia

Daily Memo: Gaza Plan, Polish Border

Forward-looking. U.S. President Donald Trump plans to present his vision for peace in Gaza and postwar governance to Arab and Muslim leaders on Tuesday, Axios reported. According to the story, it will be the most concrete plan offered by Trump so far and will include conditions for an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and deployments from […]

How Drone Logistics Are Changing Warfare

Warfare is the contest between technology and geography. Geography imposes limits (e.g., distance, rivers, mountains, chokepoints) and technology tries to erode them, relying on...

Daily Memo: US-China Trade Tensions, Israel Readies Next Gaza Operation

Trade talks. U.S. and Chinese delegations met Sunday in Madrid to discuss trade and economic issues, including U.S. tariffs, export controls and the TikTok...

When Rivers Become Red Lines

Societies have tried to control resources as long as there have been resources to control. Whether precious metals, arable lands or hydrocarbon deposits, access...

Daily Memo: Developments in Israel

Gaza update. The Israel Defense Forces currently control 40 percent of Gaza City, an IDF spokesperson said at a press conference on Israel’s operation...

Daily Memo: Russia’s Economy, Israel’s Plans for the West Bank

Russian slowdown. The Russian economy fell into ā€œtechnical stagnationā€ in the second quarter of this year and is experiencing a cooling period, Sberbank CEO...

Daily Memo: China Hosts SCO, Strikes Pipeline Deal With Russia

Chinese leadership. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization held its annual summit in China from Aug. 31 to Sept. 1, with more than 20 world leaders...

Daily Memo: Russian LNG Shipment to China Tests US Sanctions

Sanctions test. A vessel loaded with liquefied natural gas from Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 plant, which is under U.S. sanctions, docked for the first...

Daily Memo: Taiwan’s Defense Spending, Azerbaijan’s War Preparations

Taiwanese defense. The Taiwanese government’s proposed defense budget for next year will reach $31 billion, or 3.32 percent of gross domestic product, according to...

Daily Memo: Israel Prepares New Gaza Operation, Europe Discusses Ukraine’s Defense

Making arrangements. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz approved on Tuesday plans for a Gaza City offensive. In preparation for the operation, the military called...

Daily Memo: What Ukraine Will Accept, US-India Talks Canceled

Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is prepared to freeze the current front line in the war with Russia but rejects demands that he...

Risk and Reward in the AI Arms Race

Artificial intelligence is emerging as the strategic high ground in warfare, promising faster targeting, smarter weapons and operations beyond human capacity. Several imperatives are...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscription Special



The World Explained in Maps

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now