Americas

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Washington’s Red Lines in Latin America

There’s evidence to suggest that the United States and China are gradually getting closer to some kind of understanding over economic and security matters....

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

2026 Forecast: Re-anchoring the World

Global In 2025, we noted that the world was becoming more unanchored compared to years past. Since World War II, the global order had had...

Latin American Reactions to Maduro’s Capture

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(click to enlarge) Reactions in Latin America to the United States’ detention of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro have been divided. In several countries – including...

George Answers Your Questions: Venezuela’s Economy and Understanding Russia

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba Jan. 5, 2026 Question: To quote your article: ā€œ before Hugo Chavez, a leftist who took power in 1999.ā€...

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba

In recent weeks, I have focused on two points. First, the United States is reducing its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere and increasing its...

The Military Benefits of Quantum Technology

Modern militaries increasingly depend on the continuous functioning of complex systems rather than on decisive battlefield victories. Military advantages, then, are created less by...

The Geopolitical Logic for Latin American Intervention

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The U.S. National Security Strategy released earlier this month contained a couple of related priorities that have informed recent U.S. actions abroad: reducing U.S....

George Answers Your Questions: The Fate of Europe

The European Crisis: Origin and Future Dec. 15, 2025 Question: Europe today is similar to the 13 colonies that came together to oppose a powerful adversary....

The Trouble With Tankers

For the United States, hemispheric security doesn’t just call for military dominance; it calls for the absence of anti-U.S. governments. Washington believes that by...

Explaining US Strategy Toward Venezuela

By now, it’s clear that military deployments in the Caribbean Sea are not just about curbing drug trafficking and its associated threats to the...

On the Global Gen Z Protests

Over the past few months, a wave of protests led by members of Generation Z has swept over the world. They have largely taken...

George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Vast Borders, US Intelligence on Drug Smuggling

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine Nov. 11, 2025 Question: Why do you conclude with the statement that Russia has neither the ability nor interest to act on...

George Answers Your Questions: The Legality of Boat Strikes

Question: Some liberal sources have been screaming that President Donald Trump is committing "war crimes" by blowing up boats around Venezuela. I haven't seen...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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Required Reads: The Americas

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

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Daily Memo: European Defense, US Presence in Syria

NATO meeting. Increasing the independence of European NATO members was a top focus for defense ministers at an alliance summit in Brussels on Thursday....

Iran’s Future Hinges on IRGC-Artesh Power-Sharing

The future of Iran hinges on the evolving balance of power between its two parallel military institutions: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the...

Daily Memo: US Piles More Pressure on Iran, Russian Oil Production Falls Short

Considering options. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview that, on the orders of President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth,...

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