Americas

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Washington’s Red Lines in Latin America

There’s evidence to suggest that the United States and China are gradually getting closer to some kind of understanding over economic and security matters....

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

2026 Forecast: Re-anchoring the World

Global In 2025, we noted that the world was becoming more unanchored compared to years past. Since World War II, the global order had had...

Latin American Reactions to Maduro’s Capture

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(click to enlarge) Reactions in Latin America to the United States’ detention of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro have been divided. In several countries – including...

George Answers Your Questions: Venezuela’s Economy and Understanding Russia

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba Jan. 5, 2026 Question: To quote your article: “ before Hugo Chavez, a leftist who took power in 1999.”...

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba

In recent weeks, I have focused on two points. First, the United States is reducing its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere and increasing its...

The Military Benefits of Quantum Technology

Modern militaries increasingly depend on the continuous functioning of complex systems rather than on decisive battlefield victories. Military advantages, then, are created less by...

The Geopolitical Logic for Latin American Intervention

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The U.S. National Security Strategy released earlier this month contained a couple of related priorities that have informed recent U.S. actions abroad: reducing U.S....

George Answers Your Questions: The Fate of Europe

The European Crisis: Origin and Future Dec. 15, 2025 Question: Europe today is similar to the 13 colonies that came together to oppose a powerful adversary....

The Trouble With Tankers

For the United States, hemispheric security doesn’t just call for military dominance; it calls for the absence of anti-U.S. governments. Washington believes that by...

Explaining US Strategy Toward Venezuela

By now, it’s clear that military deployments in the Caribbean Sea are not just about curbing drug trafficking and its associated threats to the...

On the Global Gen Z Protests

Over the past few months, a wave of protests led by members of Generation Z has swept over the world. They have largely taken...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

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Daily Memo: US and Iran Bolster Forces

Deployment. The United States is considering deploying an additional 10,000 troops to the Middle East, the Wall Street Journal reported, despite signals from the...

China’s Fertilizer Diplomacy in a Time of Energy Shock

The breakdown in energy and fertilizer markets resulting from the war in the Middle East has been uncomfortable for China, but it’s been worse...

China, Iran and the Future of Taiwan

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With the long-awaited meeting between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping delayed until May, all eyes are on the two giants and the long shadow they cast on the Iran war and the world at large. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss China’s strategic restraint in the Middle East, economic fragility and rapprochement with the US, and the importance of Taiwan.

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