HomeReality Check

Reality Check

The Danish Vote and the European Crisis

Dec. 4, 2015 The Danish rejected a series of changes to Denmark’s laws in order to bring it into compliance with EU requirements, reflecting a growing challenge for the union.

The Ukrainian Mystery

Dec. 3, 2015 After the sabotage of power lines caused an electricity shortage in Crimea, the Ukrainian government displayed a fairly casual attitude toward the matter, given that the shortage directly challenges Russia’s position in Crimea.

Turkey’s View of the Islamic State

Dec. 2, 2015 Some world leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Barack Obama, have recently accused Turkey of colluding with the Islamic State.

The Turkish Red Line and A Strategic Shift

Nov. 30, 2015 Turkey’s decision to shoot down a Russian warplane drew the country deeper into the Syrian crisis, even though it has been reluctant to get involved in the civil war raging across its border.

A New Crisis in Ukraine?

Nov. 26, 2015 Ukraine has engaged in a series of retaliatory gestures with Russia that may signal a coming crisis.

The Strategy Behind a Downed Russian Plane

Nov. 25, 2015 Many are wondering what compelled the Turks to shoot down a Russian warplane they say entered Turkish air space.

Argentina Moves to the Right Following Election

Nov. 24, 2015 The election of center-right candidate Mauricio Macri has provoked a sense of optimism about the country’s future.

Armies, War and Islamic State

Nov. 23, 2015 The future of the Middle East will be determined by whether the Islamic State’s military force is more capable fundamentally than the Arab military forces we have seen in the past.

The Arab Spring and Other Fables

Nov. 20, 2015 Far from creating democracies in the Arab world, the Arab Spring ended up being a catalyst for civil wars in Syria and Libya.

Paris, Sharm el-Sheikh and the Resurrection of Old Europe

Nov. 25, 2015 Europe is considering its options following the Islamic State’s attacks on French and Russian targets.

Aftershocks and Morality Questions Following Paris Attacks

Nov. 18, 2015 Governments and individuals now have to face the difficult question of how to prevent future attacks from happening.

Turkey Edging Closer to Islamic State Confrontation

Nov. 19, 2015 Turkey has avoided military intervention in Syria but may now be moving in that direction.

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


Special Collection – The Middle East

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now