HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Israel’s Intelligence Failure

George Friedman - March 3, 2025

Hamas' attack on Oct. 7, 2023, was not Israel’s first intelligence failure. In the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, Israel was surprised by Egypt and Syria's...

Morality in Geopolitics

George Friedman - February 26, 2025

The negotiations over a peaceful resolution to the Ukraine war bring to light an uncomfortable truth: In geopolitics, ethics tend to be coincidental, not...

Speculating on the Summit in Saudi Arabia

George Friedman - February 17, 2025

At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish...

Russia-US Negotiations Open the Next Phase Of Restructuring the World

George Friedman - February 13, 2025

From 1945 until the early 1990s, the global order was based on the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was...

America’s Sixth Socio-Economic Cycle

George Friedman - February 4, 2025

In my books “The Next 100 Years” and “The Storm Before the Calm,” I introduced a model of U.S. history consisting of political cycles...

American Naval Policy and China

George Friedman - January 22, 2025

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

American Cycles and Uncertainty

George Friedman - January 15, 2025

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Spirit of America – Its People

George Friedman - January 9, 2025

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...