HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Tedium of Passion

I normally try to forget the books I write, at least for a while. They can be a trap, enclosing you forever. But I can’t escape the last book I wrote, “The Storm Before the Calm,” about the anger that would encompass American life for at least the first part of this decade. I drew […]

Conflict in the Caucasus and the New American Strategy

During the Cold War, the United States opposed the Soviet Union wherever the Soviet Union sought to make inroads. Some interventions were necessary and...

On Presidential Debates

As I write this, my wife is watching the presidential debate in another room. I am sitting alone and sipping a port because I...

The Fighting in the Caucasus

Fighting has broken out again over Nagorno-Karabakh, an enclave inside Azerbaijan nominally controlled by Azerbaijan but governed by ethnic Armenians. Since the fall of...

Thoughts at 30,000 Feet

There was a time when a flight to a place far away would thrill me. But that was long ago, and it is no...

Encountering Korea

Arriving at the international airport at Incheon, now a global transport hub, I received instructions for South Korea’s coronavirus screening procedures. Incheon will always...

Belarus’ Next Episode

Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...

9/11, 19 Years Later

It has been 19 years since 9/11. For me, it was pivotal moment of terror. For many others, once the initial paralyzing fear was...

Eternal Brexit

In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...

To South Korea and Back Again

In mid-September, I will travel to Seoul, South Korea, for a week. The purpose will be to hold court, be lectured to, eat dinners...

Nothing Has Changed With Taiwan

On Aug. 17, 1982, U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz sent a memo via an American diplomat to the Taiwanese government. On Monday, just...

The Crisis of the University and the Liberal Arts

In my book “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that one of the main battles of the next cycle would be the future...

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