HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Ukraine Heading to Another Showdown

George Friedman - February 7, 2023

I should say up front that I am not writing about Chinese balloons. Instead, I am writing about the situation in Ukraine, which is...

The Struggle to Understand

George Friedman - February 3, 2023

Earlier this week, we published a piece on the way Europe views Muslims. We received a number of emails from readers who criticized the...

On the Leaks of a War With China

George Friedman - January 31, 2023

Over the past few days, two senior U.S. officials – Gen. Mike Minihan, the head of the U.S. Air Force Mobility Command, and Michael...

Forecast for 2023

George Friedman - January 26, 2023

Our 2023 Annual Forecast, like those before it, is an attempt to provide a sense of the direction of the world. We do this...

Tech and Geopolitical Cycles

George Friedman - January 24, 2023

There have been seemingly endless reports of massive layoffs in the tech industry. Partly they are due to economic circumstances, of course, but overlooked...

Slouching Into Bethlehem

George Friedman - January 20, 2023

In his poem titled “The Second Coming,” William Butler Yeats asks what kind of “beast … slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?” Perhaps he...

The Wagner Group and Russia’s New General

George Friedman - January 13, 2023

Moscow has relieved its current general in Ukraine, placing him under the staff of his successor, Gen. Valery Gerasimov. In a way, this makes...

China and the Philippines

George Friedman - January 10, 2023

Last week, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited President Xi Jinping in China, where they agreed to cooperate in peace and security operations and...

Putting the World in Perspective

George Friedman - January 6, 2023

In working on GPF’s Annual Forecast recently, I was looking for ways to measure national power and differentiate countries with large mouths from countries...

The State of Play in Ukraine

George Friedman - December 27, 2022

The war in Ukraine seems permanent. Neither side appears capable of destroying the opposing force or articulating what it would take to reach a...

Two Holidays

George Friedman - December 23, 2022

Editor’s note: As we approach the end of the year, now is the perfect time to reflect on what the holiday season means to...

The Effectiveness of an Air War

George Friedman - December 20, 2022

The Russians have initiated a concentrated air attack on Ukraine focused on the use of drones. The target is civilian and industrial infrastructure, primarily...

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