HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Russia Seals Its Southern Border

George Friedman -
Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There is, however, another front that concerns Russia: its southern border,...

The Chinese Mystery

George Friedman -
Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu has disappeared. Some reports say he was meeting with Vietnamese officials when he was escorted away, but according to...

9/11: The Perfect Op

George Friedman -
It has been 22 years since the 9/11 attack that destroyed the World Trade Center buildings and a wing of the Pentagon and launched...

A Shift in Ukrainian Strategy

George Friedman -
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced over the weekend that he replaced his defense minister with someone new – unsurprising, given the exhaustion the minister...

Prigozhin RIP, Or Do the Best You Can

George Friedman -
Wagner Group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is dead. He died of a fatal dose of self-confidence. He made three mistakes. First, he thought himself a...

Next Stage of Forecasting

George Friedman -
As we at GPF undertake our next long-term forecast, we’d like to do so with a degree of transparency. A degree is all we...

The Crisis of Demography

George Friedman -
In my book “The Next 100 Years,” I argued that one of the greatest challenges facing the United States, even humanity as a whole,...

Belarus Reaches Out to Poland and the EU

George Friedman -
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made a speech last week in which he appeared to be reaching out to the West. Belarus has been a...

Benchmarking China

George Friedman -
For some time, China has been regarded as an economic miracle, a country whose rise would in due course put it atop the global...

The State of the War in Ukraine

George Friedman -
A month and a half ago, right after the attempted Wagner coup, there appeared to be chaos in Moscow, with the future of President...

Thinking About School

George Friedman -
This is the place where I give myself the option of looking at my memories rather than solely geopolitics, so forgive me for this...

Five Eyes in Our Time

George Friedman -
A few years ago, I was invited to a military meeting in Australia. When I walked into the room, I expected to see Australian...
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