HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

A Note on More Personal Considerations

George Friedman -

I am writing this from the Fontainebleau hotel in Miami Beach at the beginning of a month of wandering. Meredith and I have wandered the world under various guises for most of our marriage, and so it begins again, in a hotel where a picture of the Rat Pack – Frank Sinatra, Dean Martin, et […]

How the Ukraine War May End

George Friedman -
Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...

Russia’s Broken Logic for Invading Ukraine

George Friedman -
History shows that in war, a rapid victory doesn’t require a carefully considered justification. A country goes in, wins, and makes the case later....

The Beginning of a New Era

George Friedman -
A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200...

A Visit to Atomic Land

George Friedman -
Earlier this week, my wife and I were in Santa Fe, New Mexico, to speak before the World Affairs Council there (now with the...

The Ukraine War, Redefined

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine began under a faulty assumption shared by many, including the United States, that if Russia invaded, it would defeat Ukraine,...

Historical Phases and Transitions

George Friedman -
I have said before that 1991 was the year one era ended and another began. In 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed and the Maastricht...

The World and a Small War

George Friedman -
No war is small when you are living in it, but the world is large, and large wars are rare. At the same time,...

The Pain and Pleasure of Being Right

George Friedman -
In 2009, I published a book about the next century called "The Next 100 Years," in which I predicted that Russia would become increasingly...

Time For Putin’s Hail Mary Pass

George Friedman -
Alexander Dvornikov isn’t exactly a household name, but it could be soon. He’s the Russian general President Vladimir Putin has put in charge of...

War, Hatred and Exhaustion

George Friedman -
For much of my life, my father worked as a typesetter for The New York Times. Type was spit out by linotype machines, and...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...
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