HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

George Friedman - March 7, 2026

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran March 1, 2026 A message on how we are handling this crisis: This is not an answer to a question but an explanation I want to give you. In years past, if there was a crisis or a war, we would go into a “Red Alert,” as we […]

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

George Friedman - March 1, 2026

At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

George Answers Your Questions: On Nuclear Weapons, and Tariffs and the Supreme Court

George Friedman - February 28, 2026

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe Feb. 21, 2026 Question: Good response on Europe’s nuclear umbrella, but many observers forget...

The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

George Friedman - February 23, 2026

I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe

George Friedman - February 21, 2026

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future Feb. 16, 2026 Question: Although the Europeans have some nuclear capability of their own, it is utterly insufficient to dissuade...

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future

George Friedman - February 16, 2026

Representatives from more than 115 countries gathered over the weekend for the annual Munich Security Conference. Little of substance usually emerges from this meeting,...

George Answers Your Questions: The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario

George Friedman - February 14, 2026

The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario Feb. 9, 2026 Question: I find it difficult to believe that Washington truly views the Iranian nuclear program...

The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario

George Friedman - February 9, 2026

The United States has entered indirect talks with Tehran over the future of Iran’s nuclear program. Geopolitically, Iran should not be a fundamental issue...

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Friedman - February 7, 2026

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

George Friedman - February 2, 2026

If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

George Friedman - January 31, 2026

The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift toward the North Korean and Iranian models of instability, propped...