HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

A Personal Explanation of Why I Don’t Vote

I must confess that I have not voted in an election, other than local ones, since I left my life in academia and government 30 years ago. I chose to pursue my passion – geopolitical modeling and forecasting – as a business and so created a company that was my own Office of Net Assessment. […]

The Ukraine War and the Consequences for Russia

I have come under criticism lately from those who challenge my view that Russia is in decline and is not a threat for the...

Israel’s Intelligence Failure

Hamas' attack on Oct. 7, 2023, was not Israel’s first intelligence failure. In the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, Israel was surprised by Egypt and Syria's...

Morality in Geopolitics

The negotiations over a peaceful resolution to the Ukraine war bring to light an uncomfortable truth: In geopolitics, ethics tend to be coincidental, not...

Speculating on the Summit in Saudi Arabia

At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish...

Russia-US Negotiations Open the Next Phase Of Restructuring the World

From 1945 until the early 1990s, the global order was based on the hostility between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was...

America’s Sixth Socio-Economic Cycle

In my books “The Next 100 Years” and “The Storm Before the Calm,” I introduced a model of U.S. history consisting of political cycles...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

American Cycles and Uncertainty

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Spirit of America – Its People

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

The Weakness of Israel’s Approach to War

The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...

Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles

As I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


2025 Forecast: The World Without an Anchor

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now