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Analysis

The Future of the Schengen Zone

Dec. 12, 2015 There are increasing indications that the Schengen zone will not survive in a fragmented Europe, at least not in its current form, and this could lead to negative impacts on trade and tourism.

Risk of a Financial Crisis in Italy Increases

Dec. 11, 2015 The Italian banking system is in serious trouble and the failure of these four banks is simply the tip of the iceberg.

Greek Funding Negotiations

Dec. 11, 2015 As Greece negotiates the release of its next round of funding, indications are growing that the country is falling behind on the terms of its third bailout agreement.

Army Reforms in China

Dec. 11, 2015 The Chinese government has started implementing changes to the People’s Liberation Army, in an attempt to centralize power in Beijing.

Merkel, Time Magazine and Our Take on Why She Deserved the Honor

Dec. 10, 2015 German Chancellor Angela Merkel is deserving of Time’s “Person on the Year” award because of the way she has managed an impossible and ultimately insoluble problem.

Thinking About the Arabs in History

Dec. 9, 2015 As the strength of many Arab states deteriorates, it may not be possible to think of the Arab world as a whole anymore.

The IMF and Geopolitics

Dec. 9, 2015 With new fault lines emerging in Europe as a result of the debt crisis in Greece, the Ukraine issue and other conflicts, the International Monetary Fund has increasingly moved toward furthering Western geopolitical goals.

The Coming Turkey-Iran Conflict

Dec. 9, 2015 As Turkey becomes more active in defending its interests in Syria and Iraq, tensions with Iran are rising.

A Big Day in Geopolitics

Dec. 8, 2015 We look at how several key geopolitical developments in Europe, Russia and Latin America yesterday impact Geopolitical Futures’ forecast.

Electricity Partially Restored in Crimea

Dec. 8, 2015 After two weeks without electricity, Ukraine partially restored power to Crimea, following a visit to Kiev by U.S. Vice President Joe Biden yesterday.

Russian Ruble Weakens

Dec. 8, 2015 Russia’s currency fell today, after crude oil prices slumped, presenting challenges for the government’s recently approved 2016 budget.

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