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Phillip Orchard

Phillip Orchard
Phillip Orchard is an analyst at Geopolitical Futures. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Orchard spent nearly six years at Stratfor, working as an editor and writing about East Asian geopolitics. He’s spent more than six years abroad, primarily in Southeast Asia and Latin America, where he’s had formative, immersive experiences with the problems arising from mass political upheaval, civil conflict and human migration. Mr. Orchard holds a master’s degree in Security, Law and Diplomacy from the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs, where he focused on energy and national security, Chinese foreign policy, intelligence analysis, and institutional pathologies. He also earned a bachelor’s degree in journalism from the University of Texas. He speaks Spanish and some Thai and Lao.

The Risks and Rewards in the Chinese Yuan’s Fall

Despite speculation to the contrary, it’s unlikely the central bank is intentionally devaluing the currency.

Rebalancing China and Bracing for the Trade War

The only thing more ambitious than Beijing’s goals is its time frame.

The US Tries to Put Its Money Where Its Mouth Is...

But comparisons between U.S. plans and China’s One Belt, One Road initiative are misleading.

Measuring Progress in Growth-Obsessed China

Lower growth rates can actually be a sign of progress in today’s China.

China’s Two-Front War

Censorship, social controls and a cult of personality can only go so far when the economy is bad.

North Korea Talks Are Still at Square One

The U.S. has less leverage now than before.

Taiwan’s Quest to Modernize Its Submarine Fleet

It still needs foreign technology to build up a modern fleet anytime soon.

In the US Trade War, Vietnam Waits With Open Arms

The manufacturing exodus from China will likely benefit others in Southeast Asia.

Iran Protests: What’s Really at Stake

Could the recent bout of unrest be a challenge to the regime?