Geopolitical Futures

India is a rapidly emerging global player with immense potential, but its rise is encumbered by its complex domestic politics and challenging strategic environment. The deeply fragmented international order adds another layer of difficulty. New Delhi must navigate a shifting United States, an intensifying U.S.-China rivalry, a weakening China and Russia’s long-term decline, accelerated by […]

Russian weapons. India signed a contract with Russia to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles, the Indian Defense Ministry said. The ministry added that the weapons will increase the combat capabilities...

Historically, nations did not conduct themselves without aligning with or getting their bearings in relation to a power system that drove the world, an anchor. This was the case, for example, in the world wars of the last century, and the Cold War. But as Chairman George Friedman explained in our recent ClubGPF live discussion, things have changed, and various nations are testing each other.

Retaliation. China announced that it will impose tariffs of 15 percent on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas and 10 percent on U.S. crude oil, agricultural machinery and certain...

European impact. Shares of European automakers dropped substantially following the Trump administration’s announcement of 25 percent tariffs on imports from Mexico, a key production hub for many European car...

(click to enlarge) The conflict in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo escalated last weekend when the M23 rebel group advanced into North Kivu, seizing the regional capital, Goma. Rwanda,...