Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: US Cuts Off Ukraine, Hits Neighbors and China With New Tariffs

High and dry. U.S. President Donald Trump has frozen all military aid to Ukraine until he feels its leadership is committed to peace negotiations. Trump’s order halts the transfer of U.S. military equipment not already in Ukraine, including weapons in transit through Poland. Ukrainian lawmakers described Trump’s decision as a shock and a catastrophe, warning […]

Daily Memo: Kurdish Ceasefire in Turkey, Leadership Split in Iran

New phase. The Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, declared over the weekend a ceasefire with Turkey, days after its jailed leader called on the group to lay down its...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The project, which would transport oil...

George Friedman: Trump, Putin and Changing Global Realities

One month into Donald Trump’s second term, even those who closely followed his first time in office have struggled to keep up. Foreign policy shifts alone include tariffs, attacks on allies, and a proposed takeover in Gaza. Now, an apparent rapprochement with Russia has the potential to revolutionize US strategy. What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor?

Daily Memo: Kurdish Group in Turkey Weighs Its Future

Giving up the struggle? The jailed leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party on Thursday called on the group to lay down its arms and dissolve itself. In a statement written...

Live Discussion: The First National Security Strategy – 1987

Winston Churchill's profound quote, "The farther backward you can look, the farther forward you can see", is an apt perspective on geopolitics. For this week's Club session, U.S. Vice Admiral John M. Poindexter joined GPF Chairman George Friedman for a history lesson on America's first national security strategy, established during the Reagan administration in the 1980's. As the Vice Admiral pointed out, it is history that informs the present.

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...