Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Live Discussion: The First National Security Strategy – 1987

Winston Churchill’s profound quote, “The farther backward you can look, the farther forward you can see”, is an apt perspective on geopolitics. For this week’s Club session, U.S. Vice Admiral John M. Poindexter joined GPF Chairman George Friedman for a history lesson on America’s first national security strategy, established during the Reagan administration in the 1980’s. As the Vice Admiral pointed out, it is history that informs the present.

Daily Memo: Moscow’s Advice for Tehran

Mediation. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reportedly told his Iranian counterpart during a trip to Tehran that Moscow was willing to act as a mediator between Iran and the...

Daily Memo: Britain Expands Defense Budget, US and Ukraine Agree on Preliminary Deal

Britain's defense spending. Britain plans to increase its defense spending to 2.5 percent of gross domestic product by 2025, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced. The rise from the current...

George Friedman: Trump is Just Reacting to Changing Global Realities

One month into Donald Trump’s second term, even those who closely followed his first time in office have struggled to keep up. Foreign policy shifts alone include tariffs, attacks on allies, and a proposed takeover in Gaza. Now, an apparent rapprochement with Russia has the potential to revolutionize US strategy. What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor?

Daily Memo: Putin Open to Working With US on Critical Minerals

Putin's proposal. Moscow is open to working with Washington on projects involving rare earth metals, Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a press conference following a meeting on rare...

Daily Memo: German Election Results

Center holds. Germany’s center-right Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) finished first in federal elections on Sunday, securing 28.5 percent of the vote, according to preliminary results. The far-right...

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...