Geopolitical Futures

Gazprom pulls out. Russia’s Gazprom is suspending plans to use Turkey as a hub for natural gas supplies to Europe, Bloomberg reported. The project was considered a way for Russian gas to reenter European markets, but according to the publication, the company now sees it as unfeasible due to Turkey’s limited spare export capacity, Ankara’s […]

The U.S. decision to recuse itself from European security has created something of a crisis on the continent. America wants European countries to pick up their own defense spending and focus on their own region, following Vladimir Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. So what’s the feeling in Europe about the risks countries there face from Russia? How are they navigating those threats? And do Americans and Europeans see them in the same way?

Deal or no deal? A May 31 U.S. proposal for a nuclear deal with Iran would allow limited, low-level uranium enrichment on Iranian soil, Axios reported. Previously, White House...

It’s hard to find a region facing as much widespread turmoil as the Middle East, both historically and in the modern world. As Geopolitical Futures’ contributing analyst Hilal Khashan predicts, the Middle East will continue to oscillate between established and rising regional powers, with more turbulent times ahead. Hilal joined George Friedman for our recent ClubGPF live discussion to focus on the Middle East, and to break down the US imperatives in the region, following Donald Trump’s historic visit.

Matters of negotiation. The second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine are being held in Istanbul today. Last night, Reuters published the full text of a Ukrainian memorandum...

In simpler times, the decision of the Kurdistan Workers Party to lay down its arms and disband after 40 years of conflict with Turkey would have dominated global headlines. In reality, though, the agreement between the PKK and Ankara became just another development in an already rapidly changing picture for Middle East and global geopolitics. On this episode, GPF contributing analyst Kamran Bokhari joins Christian Smith to understand how this all fits together and what it could mean for Turkey in the more than 30 million Kurds in the Middle East.