Geopolitical Futures

Taking a toll. A week after launching its assault on Iranian nuclear facilities, Israel’s war effort is already proving costly, potentially limiting its ability to sustain a protracted conflict. According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel could be spending up to $200 million per day on air defense alone. Just one launch from the David’s […]

The recent escalation between Israel and Iran was not unexpected. As George Friedman recently wrote, there was never a possibility that Tehran could avoid detection or that the Israelis or the Americans would not destroy the nuclear facilities before they went operational. In this week's live discussion, George is joined by GPF contributors and Middle East experts Hilal Khashan and Kamran Bokhari to examine the situation and all its complexities within the region and beyond.

European arbitration. The foreign ministers of Germany, France and Britain will reportedly meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Geneva on Friday. It would be the first in-person...

The similarities between Ukraine’s attack on Russian bombers and the Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear sites have been noted. But the parallels don’t stop there. The U.S. is involved in both conflicts and the script for each is flexible on a daily basis. The influence upon each is U.S. President Donald Trump. George Friedman joined host Leighton Smith to discuss both wars, employing the theory of geopolitical cycles as explained in his book “The Storm Before the Calm”.

Dwindling interceptors. Israel is running low on Arrow missile interceptors, raising concerns about its ability to counter Iranian ballistic missile attacks, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing a U.S....

Damage done. There are no signs that the fighting between Israel and Iran will let up any time soon, but authorities are already assessing the damage. The chief of...