Geopolitical Futures

Escalation. The Trump administration has authorized the CIA to conduct covert operations in Venezuela, The New York Times reported. President Donald Trump confirmed on Wednesday, after the report was released, that the U.S. was “looking at land now” after targeting multiple vessels in the Caribbean suspected of carrying illicit goods. The authorization would allow the […]

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As GPF Chairman George Friedman has written about in recent months, the United States is trying to reduce its exposure in foreign conflicts. With the US now entering its third week of a government shutdown, the nation has its own set of crises to work through, while Trump is also working to broker peace in Gaza and a trade agreement with China. How does the current situation fit within the framework of institutional and socioeconomic cycles, as described in George's most recent book, The Storm Before the Calm? And where does President Trump fit into it all? Host Christian Smith is back on the podcast with Dr. Friedman to discuss the US and the historic shifts of the 2020s.

As GPF Chairman George Friedman has written about in recent months, the United States is trying to reduce its exposure in foreign conflicts. With the US now entering its third week of a government shutdown, the nation has its own set of crises to work through, while Trump is also working to broker peace in Gaza and a trade agreement with China. How does the current situation fit within the framework of institutional and socioeconomic cycles, as described in George's most recent book, The Storm Before the Calm? And where does President Trump fit into it all? Host Christian Smith is back on the podcast with Dr. Friedman to discuss the US and the historic shifts of the 2020s.

EU strategy. The European Commission will soon present a plan to revamp its defense procurement strategy, Bloomberg reported. An internal document, seen by the outlet, states that bloc members...

Ceasefire violations. Israeli troops on Tuesday morning shot and killed at least five Palestinians who crossed a ceasefire line and approached them in a Gaza City neighborhood, according to...