Geopolitical Futures

Big changes. Pakistan’s parliament has approved a constitutional amendment that will expand the powers of the army chief and amend the jurisdiction of the supreme court. Under the legislation, army chief Gen. Asim Munir will be promoted to head of the defense forces, with authority over the navy and the air force, in addition to […]

Fallout. Colombia will stop sharing intelligence with the United States until the Trump administration suspends strikes against suspected drug traffickers in the Caribbean, Colombian President Gustavo Petro said. The...

The U.S. in Israel. The United States plans to build a military base in Israel along the border with the Gaza Strip, according to Ynet news. It will house...

Russian labor gap. Moscow and New Delhi are working on an agreement aimed at increasing the number of Indian workers employed in Russia, the Economic Times reported. They’re expected...

(click to enlarge) The World Bank predicts a widening imbalance between supply and demand in the energy market in 2026. Rising oil output, particularly from OPEC+ countries that are gradually...

The Australian defense minister said this week that China's military defense build up required a response. China's defense spending has increased 13 fold in the past 30 years, while its Navy is projected to grow by nearly 50% by the end of the decade. That last statistic would be of particular concern to Australia's defense minister, Richard Marles, who said that open sea lanes, including around China, are crucial to Australia's national security. So how is great power competition playing out in the Asia-Pacific? What is the role of Australia, AUKUS and the Quad, and can America's allies trust the US and its nuclear umbrella to be there as it seeks to disengage from the world? Host Christian Smith is with GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss this and much more.