Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: German Polls, Ukrainian Skepticism

German public opinion. Support for Germany’s governing coalition has dropped to a record low of 37 percent, according to a new poll. Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s Christian Democratic Union received just 24 percent support, down 3 percentage points from last month, while its coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party, held steady at 13 percent. The far-right […]

Graphic Essay: Why Sudan’s Civil War Is Hard to Stop

Sudan's civil war has raged since April 2023 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), the de facto government, and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a formerly government-backed paramilitary group....

George Friedman on the Real Stakes of the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

A long-awaited meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin is slated for this Friday in Alaska. The summit, which comes after three and a half years of war in Ukraine, was announced last Friday after President Trump said that he was going to increase tariffs on India on Wednesday by 50 percent. Excitement and trepidation in political circles across the US and Europe is making this feel like a big moment. But is it? Do we actually expect anything to come from this when the two sides appear so far apart? Chairman and Founder of Geopolitical Futures George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the significance of and potential for the forthcoming meeting.

Daily Memo: US-China Trade, Russian Metals

Another pause. The United States and China announced on Monday that they will extend exemptions on additional tariffs for another 90 days while they negotiate a longer-term arrangement. Set...

George Friedman on the Real Stakes of the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

A long-awaited meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin is slated for this Friday in Alaska. The summit, which comes after three and a half years of war in Ukraine, was announced last Friday after President Trump said that he was going to impose 50 percent tariffs on India. Excitement and trepidation in political circles across the US and Europe is making this feel like a big moment. But is it? Do we actually expect anything to come from this when the two sides appear so far apart? Chairman and Founder of Geopolitical Futures George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the significance of and potential for the forthcoming meeting.

Daily Memo: Reactions to the Azerbaijan-Armenia Peace Deal

Landmark deal. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on Friday agreed to a landmark peace agreement brokered by the United States. The deal, signed at...

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...