Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: TikTok and the Tech War

TikTok and the tech war. The White House is expected to ban the popular social media platform TikTok in the coming days on grounds that personal data gleaned by...

EU Coronavirus Recovery Package

(click to enlarge) After months of negotiation, the European Union reached a compromise on a coronavirus-related economic recovery fund. On July 21, the European Council approved the “Next Generation EU”...

Daily Memo: Postponed Elections in Hong Kong

Delayed elections in Hong Kong. Hong Kong is pressing the pause button on its next legislative election. Chief Executive Carrie Lam announced that the city, with Beijing’s support, will...

Daily Memo: Dismal German Economy Stats

Dismal German economy stats. German statistics agency Destatis released preliminary data for the second quarter on Thursday, and though final figures won’t be published until Aug. 25, it’s already...

Daily Memo: Hedging Bets in the Asia-Pacific

Hedging bets in the Asia-Pacific. Australia’s defense and foreign ministers met with the U.S. secretaries of defense and state in Washington on Monday and Tuesday. According to Australian Foreign...

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China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

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We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher. And like all great philosophers, he has many things to teach us, even if his teaching is inappropriately applied. Thousands...

The New US Strategy to Remove Maduro in Venezuela

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The Venezuelan president is motivated now more than ever to accept a transition deal.