Geopolitical Futures

Russia sanctions. The U.S. Treasury Department sanctioned Russia’s two largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, citing the Kremlin’s “refusal” to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Separately, the European Union approved a ban on imports of Russian liquefied natural gas. Long-term contracts will be prohibited from 2027, while a ban on short-term contracts will go into effect […]

The United States, China and Russia are the three main powers of the current era that are vying for dominance on the global stage, all with their own sets of imperatives and challenges. In this month's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman examines the three nations and the main issues they currently face: culture wars and political division in the US, a declining economy in China, and a frozen war in Russia. In our Q&A session, Club members asked about George's new book on geopolitics and the moon, the role of Southeast Asian countries in larger state actors, and how Russia could still be a great power as it continues pressing on with its war with Ukraine.

U.S.-India deal. The United States and India are close to concluding a trade agreement that would reduce U.S. tariffs on Indian exports to 15-16 percent from 50 percent, the...

Soybean trade. China in September imported no soybeans from the United States, formerly one of its top suppliers, because of high U.S. tariffs imposed earlier this year. In September...

Shaky ceasefire. Israel said it had conducted retaliatory strikes on several Hamas military buildings and tunnels after its forces came under fire from anti-tank missiles in Rafah. The attack...

(click to enlarge) The International Monetary Fund’s latest global economic data reflect cautious optimism. In its 2025 Global Growth Forecast, the IMF raised its projection for the second time this...