Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: Armenia Pulls Away From Russia

Defiant. Armenia has suspended its participation in the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization, Armenian Prime Nikol Pashinian said in a new interview with France24. He accused Moscow of failing to defend Armenia in its long-standing conflict with Azerbaijan and even of trying to provoke the Armenian people to overthrow him. He also accused Azerbaijan of […]

Daily Memo: Turkey-Russia Trade, Macron Hosts Armenian Leader

Sanctions fallout. Turkish exports to Russia decreased in January by 30 percent from $792 million to $551 million compared to the same period last year. Russian exports to Turkey...

Daily Memo: Turkey Arrests Suspected Spies, Russia Talks to Hamas

Suspected spies. Turkish police detained six people suspected of spying on Uyghurs in Turkey and passing on the information to Chinese intelligence, Turkish media reported. The investigation by Turkey’s...

Daily Memo: Israel’s Economy Plunges, China Cuts Mortgage Reference Rate

Counting costs. Israel’s economy contracted by 19.4 percent on an annualized basis in the fourth quarter of 2023, the largest decline since early 2020, due to the war in...

Daily Memo: Armenia Pivots to the West, EU Eyes Turkish Drones

Pushing Russia out. Armenia is considering scrapping Russian bases located on its territory, Armenian news outlet Hraparak reported. According to the report, the government is weighing a new constitution...

China’s Deflation Spiral

(click to enlarge) Recent data show China experiencing its sharpest decline in consumer prices in over 14 years, while producer prices fell by 2.5 percent, dropping for the 16th month...

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Population Density of Canada

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

All times are approximate local time in Kyiv (GMT+2). Friday, March 11 11:30 a.m.: The EU's foreign policy chief said the bloc would double its spending...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...