Geopolitical Futures

If the peace proposal currently under negotiation to end the war in Ukraine feels like déjà vu, you're not alone. Throughout the year, hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough have repeatedly surged and faded. But with the surprising terms of the latest proposal now on the table—and U.S. President Donald Trump hinting that this may be a "now or never" moment—the world is asking whether a real path to peace finally exists. Is the deal workable? How are Europe's leaders responding? And what fundamentals of the war risk being overlooked amid the political noise? Joining host Christian Smith to break down the proposal, assess the geopolitical dynamics shaping the negotiations, and explore the evolving economic relationship between the US and Russia and China is GPF Chairman George Friedman.

If the peace proposal currently under negotiation to end the war in Ukraine feels like déjà vu, you're not alone. Throughout the year, hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough have repeatedly surged and faded. But with the surprising terms of the latest proposal now on the table—and U.S. President Donald Trump hinting that this may be a “now or never” moment—the world is asking whether a real path to peace finally exists. Is the deal workable? How are Europe’s leaders responding? And what fundamentals of the war risk being overlooked amid the political noise? Joining host Christian Smith to break down the proposal, assess the geopolitical dynamics shaping the negotiations, and explore the evolving economic relationship between the US and Russia and China is GPF Chairman George Friedman.

Getting closer. Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-brokered peace deal with Russia with only "minor details to be sorted out," CBS News reported. It was earlier reported that U.S....

Progress toward peace? Ukrainian and U.S. negotiators met in Geneva and discussed changes to Washington’s 28-point plan to end the Russia-Ukraine war. According to RBC-Ukraine, they agreed on limits...

Washington's vision. Ukrainian lawmaker Oleksiy Goncharenko revealed on his Telegram channel what he says is the U.S.-drafted 28-point plan to end the war with Russia. The proposal includes Ukraine’s...

As tensions rise between Washington and Moscow, a new chessboard emerges—not in Eastern Europe, but in the Caribbean. From the US' war on drug cartels to Russia’s quiet buildup of influence in the region, old Cold War strategies are resurfacing in startling ways. For this week's ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman and GPF Analyst and Army veteran Andrew Davidson dove into the recent US deployments off the coast of Venezuela and the broader strategy of the U.S. in Latin America.