Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: Russia-Turkey Trade Backslides, Somalia and Ethiopia Quarrel

Trade disruption. Russia’s trade with Turkey, a key supplier for the sanctions-hit government in Moscow, has stalled because of tightening Western sanctions, according to a Bloomberg report. Turkish machinery exports could decline by $1 billion this year due to a crackdown on the sale of goods to Russia with potential military uses, the head of […]

Daily Memo: US Reassures Azerbaijan, Israel Prepares Its Troops

Clarification. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken reassured Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev that a meeting of the U.S., the EU and Armenia set for April 5 will not target...

Daily Memo: Syria-Iran Talks, Security Summit in Astana

Debrief. The presidents of Syria and Iran spoke by phone about Israel’s strike on the Iranian Consulate in Damascus earlier this week, Iranian news agency Fars reported. According to...

Daily Memo: Israel Bombs an Iranian Consulate

Consulate attack. On April 1, the Israeli air force struck an Iranian consulate in Damascus, where military advisers from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reside. Brig. Gen. Mohammad Reza...

Daily Memo: Local Elections in Turkey, Laborers Flee Russia

Turkish elections. Turkey’s main opposition party is leading in mayoral races in the country’s three largest cities following nationwide local elections on Sunday. According to preliminary results, the Republican...

Russia Erodes North Korea Sanctions

(click to enlarge) Last week, Russia vetoed the renewal of a U.N. panel tasked with monitoring the enforcement of international sanctions against North Korea. The panel, which the United Nations...

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Canada is one of those countries where a vast land mass obscures the fact that the country has a relatively small population. While Canada is the second largest country in the world, its 35 million inhabitants make Canada only the 39th most populated country.

Live Updates on Ukraine War

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How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...